Six Nations 2026 Betting Preview: Markets, Odds & Best Angles
Quick Take
- France v Ireland: France 10/11 with a -13 handicap; Ireland 5/6 with +13. Draw 20/1.
- Italy v Scotland: Italy 10/11 with +9; Scotland 10/11 with -9. Draw 20/1.
- England v Wales: England 10/11 with -29; Wales 10/11 with +29. Draw 22/1.
- Outright Winner: France 8/11; England 5/2; Ireland 6/1; Scotland 12/1; Wales 55/1; Italy 125/1.
Round 1 Match Betting (Handicaps)
France v Ireland (Thursday, 20:10)
Market: Handicap (1X2)
- France (-13): 10/11
- Draw (France -13): 20/1
- Ireland (+13): 5/6
Betting read: The number is big for a Six Nations heavyweight clash, which tells you the market expects France to win by at least two scores. The value question isn’t “France to win” — it’s whether -13 is too high or whether Ireland’s disruption makes a late fade likely.
Angle: If you fancy Ireland +13, you’re backing a slow tempo, disciplined kick-exchange and a tight penalty count. If you fancy France -13, you’re backing scoreboard pressure and France’s ability to turn territory into points.
Italy v Scotland (Saturday, 14:10)
- Italy (+9): 10/11
- Draw (+9): 20/1
- Scotland (-9): 10/11
Betting read: This is the tightest handicap of the opening set. Italy +9 is the “stay close at home” play; Scotland -9 needs them to finish properly rather than simply edge it.
Angle: If you like Scotland, consider waiting to see if they start slowly — live markets often offer a better entry.
England v Wales (Saturday, 16:40)
- England (-29): 10/11
- Draw (-29): 22/1
- Wales (+29): 10/11
Betting read: A 29-point handicap is the bookies calling Wales fragile and England powerful. The only real danger for England -29 is a second-half cruise once the result is secure.
Angle: If you want England, live betting can protect you from the “job done at 55 minutes” problem.
Outrights & Season-Long Markets
Six Nations Winner
| Team | Odds | Betting note |
|---|---|---|
| France | 8/11 | Short for a reason: best-rated side + big home games. |
| England | 5/2 | Ceiling is high; consistency is the risk. |
| Ireland | 6/1 | Price reflects uncertainty; needs early results to shorten. |
| Scotland | 12/1 | The “perfect run” ticket. |
| Wales | 55/1 | Market has them struggling badly. |
| Italy | 125/1 | Very unlikely — priced accordingly. |
Grand Slam Winner
| Selection | Odds | Betting note |
|---|---|---|
| No Winner | 7/5 | Usually the smart default — five straight wins is rare. |
| France | 6/4 | If anyone does it, the market says it’s them. |
| England | 7/2 | Needs momentum and discipline across all five rounds. |
| Ireland | 14/1 | A long shot given the opener and uncertainty. |
| Scotland | 30/1 | Needs everything to break right. |
| Wales | 425/1 | Effectively off the board. |
Triple Crown Winner
| Selection | Odds | Betting note |
|---|---|---|
| England | 5/6 | Market assumes they handle Wales/Scotland; Ireland is the swing game. |
| No Winner | 13/5 | Priced tightly; needs multiple upsets. |
| Ireland | 7/2 | Only works if Ireland beat England — that’s the gatekeeper. |
| Scotland | 13/1 | A “big season” punt. |
| Wales | 125/1 | Market basically says no chance. |
Player Markets
Top Try Scorer (Each Way: 1/4 odds, 5 places)
| Player | Odds | Betting note |
|---|---|---|
| Louis Bielle-Biarrey | 8/5 | Short favourite: France’s attack generates volume. |
| Dan Sheehan | 4/1 | Set-piece tries travel; if Ireland score, he’s central. |
| Immanuel Feyi-Waboso | 11/2 | Needs England to click consistently. |
| Tommy Freeman | 11/2 | Same story: reliant on England’s rhythm. |
| Theo Attissogbe | 7/1 | France depth option if minutes stack up. |
| Gael Drean | 15/2 | Italy value if they produce tries rather than penalties. |
| Darcy Graham | 9/1 | Scotland form-dependent; needs a strong start. |
| Henry Arundell | 9/1 | Explosive, but relies on England creating space. |
Six Nations Top Points Scorer
| Player | Odds | Betting note |
|---|---|---|
| Thomas Ramos | 4/7 | Tees + France dominance = arithmetic bet. |
| George Ford | 4/1 | Live if England stay in the title hunt. |
| Finn Russell | 5/1 | Needs Scotland to win 3–4 games. |
| Sam Prendergast | 11/1 | Depends on starting role and full tee duties. |
| Harry Byrne | 14/1 | Minutes/role question makes it speculative. |
| Paolo Garbisi | 22/1 | Italy long shot: needs volume + tee share. |
Player of the Championship
| Player | Odds | Betting note |
|---|---|---|
| Antoine Dupont | 3/1 | Favourite for good reason — best player on best-rated side. |
| Dan Sheehan | 11/2 | Value if Ireland overperform and he racks up tries. |
| Finn Russell | 15/2 | Needs Scotland to be in the mix late. |
| Louis Bielle-Biarrey | 15/2 | Try-fest route if France dominate. |
| Henry Pollock | 17/2 | England candidate; requires standout impact across rounds. |
| Tommy Freeman | 14/1 | Big price; needs a signature tournament. |
| Thomas Ramos | 14/1 | Points machine; could drift into contention if France win it. |
| George Ford | 16/1 | Only if England win the title and he drives it. |
Top Ireland Try Scorer (Each Way: 1/4 odds, 3 places)
| Player | Odds | Betting note |
|---|---|---|
| Dan Sheehan | 6/4 | The “system” pick: lineout/maul and close-range. |
| Tommy O’Brien | 11/2 | Needs minutes and clean ball. |
| James Lowe | 15/2 | Value if fit and Ireland create width. |
| Jamie Osborne | 9/1 | Longer price; role-dependent. |
| Ronan Kelleher | 10/1 | Rotation risk, but hooks can land these markets. |
| Jacob Stockdale | 13/1 | Needs a finishing-heavy tournament. |
| Ciaran Frawley | 14/1 | Only if he’s a regular starter and gets opportunities. |
Wooden Spoon
| Team | Odds | Betting note |
|---|---|---|
| Wales | 5/6 | Market’s strongest opinion: Wales most likely to finish bottom. |
| Italy | 11/10 | The natural “save” bet if Wales nick a win. |
| Scotland | 17/2 | Only via disaster scenario. |
| Ireland | 66/1 | Effectively ruled out by the book. |
| England | 100/1 | Highly unlikely. |
| France | 125/1 | Not happening without chaos. |
SportsNewsIRELAND Best Bets (From These Markets)
Best “Boring But Right”
- Top Points Scorer: Thomas Ramos 4/7
- Grand Slam: No Winner 7/5
Best Value Picks
- Top Try Scorer (EW): Dan Sheehan 4/1 (each-way angle is the point)
- Player of the Championship: Dan Sheehan 11/2 (if Ireland exceed expectations)
Round 1 Leans
- France -13 (10/11) — the market is telling you Ireland’s disruption matters
- Italy +9 (10/11) — home start in a game Scotland often win without blasting teams
- England -29 (10/11) — strong lean, but better looked at in-play if England start slowly
Reminder: these are opinions, not guarantees. Stake smart and don’t chase steam just because a line has moved.
